Thursday, July 14, 2011 - 8:22 PM

As I soak up the rays here in Maui, I'm mellowing out and becoming more aware of the humor behind the headlines. Here are just a few recent examples.
Driving back from the beach yesterday, I was listening to NPR when I happened to recognize the dulcet Irish tones of none other than Tom Donohue, the CEO of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. He was talking about the truly awful jobs -- or perhaps I should say "no Jobs" -- numbers released by the Labor Department last week and offering his and the Chamber's views on what the government ought to be doing to help create jobs. His top item was for Congress to pass and the president to sign the proposed Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with South Korea.
Never mind that the deal opens the U.S. market far more than the South Korean market, that the U.S. trade deficit with South Korea is soaring, that even if U.S. exports to South Korea doubled with absolutely no increase in U.S. imports from South Korea, the U.S. unemployment rate would still be about 9 percent, and that the International Trade Commission has estimated that the FTA with Korea would increase the U.S. trade deficit. As I thought about that I wondered if maybe Tom had swapped jobs while I was away and had become CEO of the Korean Chamber of Commerce.
Speaking of trade, the numbers announced yesterday showed that the U.S. deficit jumped over 15 percent in May to $50.2 billion. This, mind you, is at a time when the U.S. economic recovery is stalling badly and virtually no jobs are being created in the U.S. economy. Can you imagine what that number would be if we really had a recovery. I mean, when your trade deficit is growing at 15 percent in the midst of an economic stagnation you have to understand that you are in trouble on the jobs/standard of living front. But here's the really interesting twist. The Wall Street Journal reported that one "bright spot" in the trade report was imports of capital goods such as computers, semiconductors, and industrial machines which were up over 13 percent from last year. Keep in mind that these are the high tech kinds of equipment at the production of which the United State is supposed to have a comparative advantage, yet imports are soaring. But the good news, said the Journal, is that "companies may not be hiring much but they're willing to make commitments when it comes to capital equipment." So three cheers for no hiring and big commitments to capital equipment imports? This tells us a lot about why the jobs numbers were so crummy.
One of the funniest analyses came from the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM). According to NAM Vice President Frank Vargo, manufactured goods exports slipped by one percent in May, but still tied the record $95.8 billion set in March, seasonally adjusted.
So I guess down really means up or at least level. Of course, imports of manufactured goods rose by three percent. So record or no record for exports, the trade deficit in manufactured goods increased to $42 billion.
Then Vargo added the piece de resistance:
"Those who are concerned about the US trade deficit need to recognize that our trade problem is with countries that have not entered into agreements which will allow US exports to them to increase faster. This highlights the need for more trade agreements to lower barriers to US exports to more countries."
Hmm. Frank, you really think a nice FTA with Japan or China would turn those numbers around?
Oh yeah, let me not forget the letter released by 470 executives including the CEOs of Alcoa, DuPont, Citigroup, and Proctor and Gamble. It called on the president and the Congress to raise the debt ceiling. Of course, the president and the Congress have both already committed to raising the debt ceiling. The issue is how. The executives didn't seem to have anything to offer in that regard.
I guess it would have been too much to expect them to offer to actually pay some corporate taxes.
The interesting thing is that out here in Maui I can see very concretely where that tax loophole money goes. The Kahului airport is full of fancy corporate jets this time of year.
Great post! You are one of the few policymakers that I really admire.
You and a handful of other Swarthmore alumni make me feel happy about being a Swattie (2004). Elizabeth Economy (Council on Foreign Relations) is another really great scholar / influential participant in the national discourse who is really terrific.
the F500 should NOT be in charge of US Industrial Policy
time for the US Government to step up and
realize that THEY need to be in charge of US Industrial Policy
instead of delegating it to the F500
the interests of the two groups are fundamentally mis-aligned
F500 ( these are "global" groups not US companies )
- offshore production of blister-packed and SKU'd goods
- for sale at "American" prices they could never realize in Vietnam or China
- shed production costs and liabilities for brand management
- trading US economic advantages for market access
- leave profits offshore / transfer pricing
- pursuit of "growth" markets ( America is yesterday's girlfriend )
- etc, etc, etc
time to start listening to the Fortune 2000 and below .. they are stuck
here and have jobs, families, and communities and an interest in growing their local US economy
It is nothing new for a contractor to low ball a bid and promise fantastic schedule performance. California did drop the ball in not exercising appropriate due diligence and inserting significant penalties for late performance. The second more important point is that many industries (semiconductor, machine tools) are simply exporting pollution. It is far easier to export the manufacturing rather than comply with California or US pollution laws. The fact that a significant part of California's pollution (and probably the whole west coast) comes from the far east is illustrative of this. All of those lower cost solar panels and windmills now being made in China come with a cost.
One last thought - I wouldn't be surprised much to be reading about substandard materials used on the bridge in the future.
Unemployment claims rise again
By Annalyn Censky @CNNMoney July 21, 2011
"In yet another sign that the job market is still stuck in a rut, more Americans filed for first-time unemployment benefits last week than the week before. There were 418,000 initial unemployment claims filed in the week ended July 16, the Labor Department said Thursday. That marks an increase of 10,000 initial claims since the previous week, and more than the 411,000 claims economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected. A level below 400,000 is typically associated with payroll growth and a lower unemployment rate -- but claims have persisted above that level for 16 straight weeks."
You have to have a sense of humor
I wouldn't say that your sense of humour is odd, just different (and I'm glad you have it! Humour is the most difficult thing to even understand because different people laugh at different things.
Personally I'm half and half. Most of the time, I get jokes from comedians or comedy shows and join in with the room full of laughter whereas sometimes some jokes or attempts at humour go straight over my head and I miss the joke even though everyone gets it.
I like spontaneous humour as well and even my family joins in as we discuss all the weird parts of life we come across.
Hope that helps
jesse jane
Clyde Prestowitz is the president of the Economic Strategy Institute and writes on the global economy for FP.
Read More
(5)
HIDE COMMENTS LOGIN OR REGISTER REPORT ABUSE